Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Looking at Facebook

Since there is a lot of talk in comments about FB, I thought it would be interesting to look at the action of the first 8 days.

If you plot Fibonacci lines over the first and second day, you can see that - after the short-lived bounce on day 2 - price gapped down below the low and then tested that low as resistance multiple times over days 3-6. It then started a three day move down that culminated with price nailing the Fibonacci extension and breaking below it late today.

I offer no predictions, but it seems to be at a decisive point here. It can either form a "Beyond the Fibonacci extension" setup and move down to the $24-$25 range, or it can retake the 100EMA with the potential to make it back to the retracement zone.

Tomorrow will be interesting to watch. All in all, I'm glad I avoided the Facebook hype!


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8 comments:

  1. Wow, there is some good long potential if it retakes the 100EMA. I will keep an eye on this one.

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  2. Anonymous7:30 PM

    Thanks for reminding me of my FB loss!

    HGN

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  3. Whats happening tomorrow?

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  4. Doug R.8:22 AM

    Ran across this good article on the future of Facebook and Google:

    http://www.robinsloan.com/note/pictures-and-vision/

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  5. Morning gap didn't hold - I'm betting on your lower target.

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  6. Be careful with FB, too new, or too many unknown unknowns to swing trade or hold for any real time.

    There are still a lot of people who bought at the high of $45 and are waiting for an opportunity to break-even.

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  7. Doug R.1:02 AM

    If it moves back to the retracement zone and you exit with your profits, you'll be out long before $45.

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  8. David7:22 PM

    Down she goes, still.

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