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Tuesday, July 04, 2006

Promoted from comments - EBAY

posted by Tom C:

F.G.R. asked the following question in "Comments" of my post over the weekend:
"Tom C., great trading and analysis. I am thinking EBAY is a good short here using your techniques. What do you think?"

First, I cannot give any advice on buying or selling securities - you have to make your own decisions.

I can tell you what I see when I look at the chart. EBAY has several factors that make it look bearish [to me] at this point:

1.) It is below the 34 and 200MA.
2.) It is below the 2005 low.
3.) Last week it printed a "hanging man" type candle.

Note how price broke the 2005 low in mid-May, then pulled back to re-test the 200MA as resistance, and finally fell back below the 2005 low.

If I traded EBAY, a logical entry would be a break of last week's low. The target would be the Fibonacci extension of the 2005 high to low. I would watch for probable support and a reversal at the 1/2-way point between the low and the Fibonacci extension. My stop would be above the high of week 06/11/06.

I am NOT saying I will trade EBAY, and again this is not trading or investment advice. Just [my] chart analysis.




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1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Did you trade it Tom C? You would have gotten a quick $2! Good posts, love the blog.